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Derivatives can be based on different types of assets such as commodities, equities or bonds, interest rates, exchange rates, or indices (such as a stock market index, consumer price index (CPI) — see inflation derivatives — or even an index of weather conditions, or other derivatives). Their performance can determine both the amount and the timing of the payoffs. The main use of derivatives is to either remove risk or take on risk depending if one were a hedger or a speculator. The diverse range of potential underlying assets and payoff alternatives leads to a huge range of derivatives contracts available to be traded in the market. The main types of derivatives are futures, forwards, options and swaps. Derivatives are increasingly[citation needed] being used to protect assets from drastic fluctuations and at the same time they are being re-engineered to cover all kinds of risk and with this the growth of the derivatives market continues.
UsagesInsurance and hedgingOne use of derivatives is as a tool to transfer risk. For example, farmers can sell futures contracts on a crop to a speculator before the harvest. The farmer offloads (or hedges) the risk that the price will rise or fall, and the speculator accepts the risk with the possibility of a large reward. The farmer knows for certain the revenue he will get for the crop that he will grow; the speculator will make a profit if the price rises, but also risks making a loss if the price falls. It is not uncommon for farmers to walk away smiling when they have lost out in the derivatives market as the result of a hedge. In this case, they have profited from the real market from the sale of their crops. Contrary to popular belief, financial markets are not always a zero-sum game. This is an example of a situation where both parties in a financial markets transaction benefit.
Speculation and arbitrageOf course, speculators may trade with other speculators as well as with hedgers. In most financial derivatives markets, the value of speculative trading is far higher than the value of true hedge trading. As well as outright speculation, derivatives traders may also look for arbitrage opportunities between different derivatives on identical or closely related underlying securities. Derivatives such as options, futures, or swaps, generally offer the greatest possible reward for betting on whether the price of an underlying asset will go up or down. For example, a person may believe that a drug company may find a cure for cancer in the next year. If the person bought the stock for $10.00, and it went to $20.00 after the cure was announced, the person would have made a 100% return. If he borrowed money to buy the stock (in US law the general maximum he could borrow would be $5.00 or half of the purchase price), he would have used only $5.00 dollars of his own money and thus made a 300% return. However, if he paid a 1 dollar option premium to buy the stock at 11 dollars, when it shot up to 20 dollars he could have received the difference (9 dollars) and thus make an 800% return. Other uses of derivatives are to gain an economic exposure to an underlying security in situations where direct ownership of the underlying is too costly or is prohibited by legal or regulatory restrictions, or to create a synthetic short position. In addition to directional plays (i.e. simply betting on the direction of the underlying security), speculators can use derivatives to place bets on the volatility of the underlying security. This technique is commonly used when speculating with traded options. Speculative trading in derivatives gained a great deal of notoriety in 1995 when Nick Leeson, a trader at Barings Bank, made poor and unauthorized investments in index futures. Through a combination of poor judgment on his part, lack of oversight by management, a naive regulatory environment and unfortunate outside events like the Kobe earthquake, Leeson incurred a 1.3 billion dollar loss that bankrupted the centuries old financial institution. Types of derivativesOTC and exchange-tradedBroadly speaking there are two distinct groups of derivative contracts, which are distinguished by the way that they are traded in market:
Common contract typesThere are three major classes of derivatives:
ExamplesSome common examples of these derivatives are:
Other examples of underlyings are:
PortfolioAn individual or a corporation should carefully weigh the risks of using derivatives since losses can be greater than the money put into these instruments. It should be understood that derivatives themselves are not to be considered investments since they are not an asset class. They simply derive their values from assets such as bonds, equities, currencies etc. and are used to either hedge those assets or improve the returns on those assets. Cash flowThe payments between the parties may be determined by:
Some derivatives are the right to buy or sell the underlying security or commodity at some point in the future for a predetermined price. If the price of the underlying security or commodity moves into the right direction, the owner of the derivative makes money; otherwise, they lose money or the derivative becomes worthless. Depending on the terms of the contract, the potential gain or loss on a derivative can be much higher than if they had traded the underlying security or commodity directly. ValuationMarket and arbitrage-free pricesTwo common measures of value are:
Determining the market priceFor exchange traded derivatives, market price is usually transparent (often published in real-time by the exchange, based on all the current bids and offers placed on that particular contract at any one time). Complications can arise with OTC or floor-traded contracts though, as trading is handled manually, making it difficult to automatically broadcast prices. In particular with OTC contracts, there is no central exchange to collate and disseminate prices. Determining the arbitrage-free priceThe arbitrage-free price for a derivatives contract is often complex, partly because of this there are often many different variables to consider. Arbitrage-free pricing is a central topic of financial mathematics. The stochastic process of the price of the underlying asset is often, but not always, crucial. A key equation for the theoretical valuation of options is the Black-Scholes formula, which is based on the assumption that the cash flows from a European stock option can be replicated by a continuous buying and selling strategy using only the stock. A simplified version of this valuation technique is the binomial options model. ControversyThe two types of derivatives have two distinct controversies associated with them. Options or futures can allow a person to pay only a premium to bet on the direction in an asset's price, and while this can often lead to 900% returns if the person is right, it would lead to a 100% loss (the premium paid) if the person is wrong. In fact, options or futures sold short may lead to great losses if the price of the derivative rises significantly. Besides the Nick Leeson affair, there have been several instances of massive losses in derivative markets. These events include the largest municipal bankruptcy in U.S. history, Orange County, CA in 1994 and the bankruptcy of Long-Term Capital Management. On December 6, 1994, Orange County declared Chapter 9 bankruptcy, from which it emerged in June 1995. The county lost about $1.6 billion through derivatives trading. Interestingly enough, Orange County was neither bankrupt nor insolvent at the time; however because of the strategy they employed they were unable to generate the cash flows needed to maintain services. Orange County is a good example of what happens when derivatives are used incorrectly and positions liquidated in an unplanned manner; had they not liquidated they would not have lost any money as their positions rebounded. The potential for these kinds of large losses have given derivatives a certain notoriety. The other controversial risk of derivatives (primarily swaps) is known as counter party risk. For example, a person wanted a fixed interest rate loan for his business, finding that banks only offer variable rates, swaps payments with another business who wants a variable rate, synthetically creating a fixed rate for the person. However if the second business goes bankrupt, it can't pay its variable rate and so the first business will lose its fixed rate and will be paying a variable rate again. If interest rates have gone up a lot, it is possible that the first business may go bankrupt too because it can't afford to pay the higher variable rate. This chain reaction effect worries certain economists, who feel that since many derivative contracts are so new, the effect could lead to a large disaster. Different types of derivatives have different levels of risk for this effect. For example, standardized stock options by law require the party at risk to have a certain amount deposited with the exchange, showing that they can pay for any losses. Or banks who help businesses swap variable for fixed rates on loans may do credit checks on both parties. However private agreements between two companies may have an unknown amount of due dilligance performed on each other, and this unknown has caused a lot of anxiety for many economists
Because derivatives offer the possibility of large rewards, many individuals have a strong desire to invest in derivatives. Most financial planners caution against this, pointing out that an investor in derivatives often assumes a great deal of risk, and therefore investments in derivatives must be made with caution, especially for the small investor ([2]). One should keep in mind that one purpose of derivatives is as a form of insurance, to move risk from someone who cannot afford a major loss to someone who could absorb the loss, or is able to hedge against the risk by buying some other derivative. Economists generally[citation needed] believe that derivatives have a positive impact on the economic system by allowing the buying and selling of risk. Although someone loses money while someone else gains money with a derivative, under normal circumstances, trading in derivatives should not adversely affect the economic system because it is not zero sum in utility. However, many economists[citation needed] are worried that derivatives may cause an economic crisis at some point in the future. There is the danger that someone could lose so much money that they would be unable to pay for their losses. This might cause chain reactions which could create an economic crisis. In 2002, legendary investor Warren Buffett commented in Berkshire Hathaway's annual report that he regarded them as 'financial weapons of mass destruction', an allusion to allegations being levelled at Iraq around that time. The problem with derivatives is that they control a huge notional amount of assets and this begins to affect the real capital and equities markets. Investors begin to look at the derivatives markets to make a decision to buy or sell securities and so what was originally meant to be a market to transfer risk now becomes a leading indicator. Former Federal Reserve Board chairman Alan Greenspan commented in 2003 that he believed that the use of derivatives has softened the impact of the economic downturn at the beginning of the 21st century. Thomas F. Siems a senior economist and policy adviser at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas wrote in a paper published by the Cato Institute titled 10 Myths About Financial Derivatives that fears about derivatives have proved unfounded. In this paper Siems explores 10 common misconceptions about financial derivatives. He argues that financial derivatives have changed the face of finance by creating new ways to understand, measure, and manage risks. And that if a firm wants to pursue value-enhancing investment opportunities, a feature of these prospect should be a risk-management strategy with derivatives as part of it. [3] GlossaryFrom: Quarterly Derivatives Fact Sheet
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